Bago Ice-Out Guesses?
Viking
Posted 3/26/2008 3:07 PM (#67592)
Subject: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 1314

Location: Menasha, WI
She starting to get pretty dark grey over here on the west side.

http://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/modis/modis.cgi/modis?region=m&pag...

There is still a lot of ice and the 10 day forecast includes some rain but no relly warm temps. I'm going to say we've got at least 14 more days until the ice is gone on April 9th.

BTW: Last year's ice out was March 27th.

Edited by Viking 3/26/2008 3:18 PM
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Jayman
Posted 3/26/2008 3:49 PM (#67594 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?



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Posts: 1656

14 more days.....tough call my sources say as of sunday there was 2' of ice out there with the top 6" getting honeycombed.

I'm guessing ice on 'Bago til Tax day.

Edited by Jayman 3/26/2008 3:54 PM
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Purple Skeeter
Posted 3/26/2008 7:17 PM (#67601 - in reply to #67594)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 885

Why did you have to go and remind me that TAX DAY is coming up....

There were 2 guys in a boat today under the 41 bridge... with about 50 feet of the river open... crazy or what?
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Mr. Darboy
Posted 3/26/2008 8:20 PM (#67605 - in reply to #67601)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?



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Posts: 514

Location: Darboy USA
What kind of ice out, total ice out or just parts of the lake? Fully open for boats anywhere, I'd say April 18.
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Viking
Posted 3/27/2008 9:03 AM (#67626 - in reply to #67605)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 1314

Location: Menasha, WI
Mr. Darboy - 3/26/2008 8:20 PM
What kind of ice out, total ice out or just parts of the lake?


To avoid disputes we'll use ice out as declared by the DNR.
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Jayman
Posted 3/27/2008 9:06 AM (#67628 - in reply to #67626)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?



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Posts: 1656

Does the DNR declare ice out? or the Corp when they begin the refill process?
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Viking
Posted 3/27/2008 9:31 AM (#67631 - in reply to #67628)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 1314

Location: Menasha, WI
I'm pretty sure it's the DNR. I had searched back to find last year's date -- the copy-&-paste was from a Corp announcement on the refill in which they relied on the DNR's declaration.
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Jayman
Posted 3/27/2008 10:41 AM (#67635 - in reply to #67631)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?



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Posts: 1656

Sounds right.....okay. What do I win when I'm right?
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thumper
Posted 3/27/2008 11:42 AM (#67637 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 744

I think the standard prize for WF winners is the naked autographed photo of Jerry, isn't it?

4/14
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ulguest
Posted 3/27/2008 11:51 AM (#67638 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: RE: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


In that case, my guess is two weeks ago!!
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Viking
Posted 3/27/2008 12:00 PM (#67639 - in reply to #67637)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 1314

Location: Menasha, WI
thumper - 3/27/2008 11:42 AM

I think the standard prize for WF winners is the naked autographed photo of Jerry, isn't it?


:shudder:
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Jayman
Posted 3/27/2008 12:30 PM (#67641 - in reply to #67639)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?



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Posts: 1656

I'd like to remove my guess!!! hahaha

Edited by Jayman 3/27/2008 12:49 PM
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bagz
Posted 3/27/2008 12:39 PM (#67644 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 185

Location: Port Washington, wisconsin
That's funny!! I'd guess April 13.
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jackglasseye
Posted 3/27/2008 1:27 PM (#67647 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: RE: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 82

Location: Oshkosh,WI
I guessed 4/15 about a month ago at Jerry's in Osh & i gotta stick with it - I was out on Monday and there is like 25" out there.
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Utts
Posted 3/28/2008 9:42 AM (#67686 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: RE: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?



Location: WI
which one of you took the picture?
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jerry
Posted 3/30/2008 8:53 PM (#67789 - in reply to #67686)
Subject: RE: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 2567

Location: Manitowoc, WI
LOL......you guys are sick!!!!!! I'm thinking ice out can't come fast enough for some of you!!!!
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schmidtwi
Posted 3/31/2008 3:48 PM (#67840 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 87

Location: Neenah, WI
I'll decline the picture as well, but the way things look right now it could be after Tax Day.
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Brad B
Posted 3/31/2008 4:38 PM (#67845 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 617

Location: Oshkosh, Wisconsin
We'll know a lot more by mid week. Rain today and tonight. Sun and warm weather on Wednesday.
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Viking
Posted 3/31/2008 7:06 PM (#67850 - in reply to #67845)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 1314

Location: Menasha, WI
The ice turned really black with today's rain. The northwest end has a lot of open water. With more rain, some wind, and warmers temps later this week, I'm feeling pretty good about my April 9th guess.
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bradley894
Posted 4/1/2008 10:23 AM (#67882 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


Member

Posts: 591

Location: in the boat off the east shore somewhere
just get that ice out and bring the water up up up.... lets get those big girls into the marsh and lil baby eyes out safe and sound.... woo hooo bring on the spaun ......... millions of little eye frys all with there little vhs shots already...
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Viking
Posted 4/9/2008 8:46 AM (#68175 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: RE: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 1314

Location: Menasha, WI
I'm out. Last night's rain dissolved a lot of ice and the entire west shore form Menasha to Oshkosh is wide open as far as I could see. With the west wind, I suspect the ice that remains has all been pushed to the east shore. Another day or two and it should be official.

Here's the USACE report from this morning:
Lake Winnebago Ice Conditions - Updated April 9, 2008
The recent mild temperatures and precipitation has caused the ice on Lake Winnebago to deteriorate. As of yesterday, reports from the WDNR pilots and property owners along the shoreline indicate that Lake Winnebago is still ice covered, but is shifting. The SW corner of the lake is wide open. Lakes Poygan, Winneconne and Butte des Morts are presently ½ open. According to the WDNR, break-up is imminent but no ice-out date can be estimated at this time.
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Jayman
Posted 4/9/2008 10:53 AM (#68179 - in reply to #68175)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?



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Posts: 1656

6 more days til my hellish nightmare of owning Jerry's picture begins!!!!
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Viking
Posted 4/16/2008 8:31 AM (#68418 - in reply to #68179)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


Member

Posts: 1314

Location: Menasha, WI
And the winner of the picture of Jerry goes to thumper! I feel for ya' Dave.

This was posted at USACE on Tuesday:

As of late yesterday (April 14th), the WDNR reported that the ice on Lakes Winnebago, Poygan Winneconne and Butte des Morts was completely gone. The USACE will closely monitor lake level conditions and make the appropriate changes in accordance with our spring fill-up objectives as discussed in the 1 April 2008 conference call.

Edited by Viking 4/16/2008 8:32 AM
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bradley894
Posted 4/16/2008 10:23 AM (#68429 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


Member

Posts: 591

Location: in the boat off the east shore somewhere
word on my street viking as that the ice on the west shorline was blown back out and in fondy yesterday with the wind the way it is it will be ice burg city on your north end by today,,,, i wouldnt be running the lake too much yet... give it another week or take it pretty slow...
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Viking
Posted 4/16/2008 11:16 AM (#68433 - in reply to #68429)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


Member

Posts: 1314

Location: Menasha, WI
Looking at the satellite pics, it does look like there's some ice left so your warnings are well placed. I'm too busy to get out soon anyway. Hopefully, next week after the water warms up, some late evening shoreline trolling will be possible.
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thumper
Posted 4/16/2008 11:45 AM (#68435 - in reply to #67592)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?


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Posts: 744

I guess I have to go get a frame and make a spot on the wall between my pictures of Shep and David Hasselhoff.

Dave S
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Jayman
Posted 4/16/2008 12:48 PM (#68438 - in reply to #68435)
Subject: Re: Bago Ice-Out Guesses?



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Posts: 1656

Congrats, Dave. Enjoy your picture!!
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