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Walleye Fishing -> General Discussion -> great lakes water level
 
Message Subject: great lakes water level
FishnFool
Posted 2/3/2014 6:25 PM (#111244)
Subject: great lakes water level


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Posts: 113

interesting reading
http://news.yahoo.com/great-lakes-water-levels-unusual-decline-1508...
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walleye express
Posted 2/4/2014 2:23 PM (#111255 - in reply to #111244)
Subject: RE: great lakes water level



Member

Posts: 2680

Location: Essexville, MI./Saginaw Bay.
One of the determining high or low Lake water Level indicators (believe it or not) is the severity and thickness of the ice jams that form and hold back spring drainage water from the Great Lakes. This narrow pinch point is created where Lake Huron dumps into the St Claire River. For the last few years Lake Huron hasn't froze over, so this bottle neck never developed to hold any spring water back. With this year colder/snowier season, this will aide considerably in the recovery of all Lake levels. This recent satelite view shows things are freezing well this season.

Edited by walleye express 2/4/2014 2:29 PM



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(a1_14034_1828_LakeHuron_143_250m.jpg)



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sworrall
Posted 2/5/2014 8:04 AM (#111261 - in reply to #111244)
Subject: Re: great lakes water level




Location: Rhinelander
And we have a considerably larger snow total this year. It's been a decade since we have had this much snow on the ice.
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walleye express
Posted 2/8/2014 10:25 AM (#111281 - in reply to #111261)
Subject: Re: great lakes water level



Member

Posts: 2680

Location: Essexville, MI./Saginaw Bay.
Great Lakes Ice Cover is Largest seen this Century.

MODIS satellite image of the Great Lakes on Feb. 7, 2014. Bright white in this image shows mainly clouds over the Great Lakes, however, you can see lake ice in southern and western Lake Michigan, southern Lake Superior, and far western Lake Erie. (UW-SSEC/Google Earth)

One effect of the persistently cold winter of 2013-2014 is showing up on the world's largest group of freshwater lakes.

According to an analysis by NOAA's Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, ice covered 78.7 percent of the Great Lakes on February 6. Not since early 1996 has ice been so widespread on the Great Lakes.

This is an abrupt turn around from the past four winters, during which the peak ice coverage remained around 40 percent or less. As you can see in the graph below, the 40-year average is just over 51 percent.

Dating to 1973, the two years with the largest ice coverage were 1979 (94.7 percent peak) and 1994 (90.7 percent).

When looking at individual lakes, just over 92 percent of Lake Superior, just under 88 percent of Lake Huron, almost 95 percent of Lake Erie, and around 53 percent of Lake Michigan is ice covered. Much deeper Lake Ontario is only about 29 percent of ice covered.

As a result, caves near the Apostle Islands National Lakeshore are now open to foot traffic, thanks to sufficiently thick ice on Lake Superior.


Winter weather expert for The Weather Channel, Tom Niziol (Twitter | Facebook), noted the current Great Lakes ice cover was pacing quite close to that from early February 1977, another year in which the peak ice cover topped 90 percent.

Let's compare the current ice cover to the early February ice cover in the two standard-bearing years mentioned above:

Feb. 5, 1979: 66.8%
Feb. 7, 1994: 83.6%
So, we're pacing ahead of 1979 but behind 1994.

Will the cold persist to allow the ice to continue to spread?

Through at least the middle of the upcoming week, temperatures will remain generally much colder than average over the Midwest and Northeast.

Beyond that, there are some preliminary indications the cold may finally ease up by next weekend, but that outlook remains too uncertain at this time.


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(IceCoverAvg1973-2013.jpg)



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